Burnley stole the headlines last weekend when they defeated Liverpool 2-0 despite enjoying just 20% of possession in the match, while they only had three shots versus the 26 taken by their opponents. Yet they came away from the game with all three points and will look to earn another positive result when they take on Chelsea, a team that has picked up results, without yet wowing anyone. Read on to find out more Chelsea vs Burnley betting tips to help you make money.
Prediction: Chelsea to sneak it by one goal
It will be a tall order for Burnley to make it two wins on the bounce this Saturday, given that they haven’t defeated Chelsea in the league since 1973, but they could certainly make life difficult for Antonio Conte’s men.
Although Chelsea had a tough season at Stamford Bridge last campaign – winning just five times – they had one of the best home records in world football over the previous decade or so. Before last campaign, they had lost just 14 Premier League home matches since 2004 and against West Ham in their season opener, the feel good factor seemed to back at Stamford Bridge, with one of the most boisterous atmospheres heard there in a long time.
Burnley will truly test whether or not Stamford Bridge is once again the fortress that it used to be. One set of tips is based around stats. As the possession and shots stats from the Liverpool game suggest, Sean Dyche has built an incredibly tough-to-break-down defensive unit that finished The Championship last season with the second best defense – they conceded just 0.76 goals per game on their way to promotion. So Chelsea will struggle to find the back of the net this Saturday, but as they did against both West Ham and against Watford, they should be capable of finding a way to beat this resolute – but undeniably lower quality – team if they huff and puff enough, and if they keep Diego Costa on the pitch.
Odds of 9/4 are on offer for the Blues to win this match by just one goal and they are well worth considering.
Associated tips: Chelsea to win, but for it to be level at half-time
Even if Chelsea are to sneak this game by just the one goal, it could take them a while to break down Burnley’s defensive wall. Both of Chelsea’s other two Premier League matches so far this season were 0-0 at the break, after which the Blues earned the win in the second half.
They could, therefore, go into the half-time interval with the score level on Saturday, before eventually securing the three points in the second period, which can be backed at odds of 13/5.
That is exactly what Swansea did to Burnley on the opening day of the season when the Welsh side struggled to score past Tom Heaten until Fernando Llorente and Leroy Fer combined in the final ten minutes. Chelsea could do likewise this weekend.